
My father is from north London. My mother is from east London. I was born on London’s fringes – shout out to Barnet – but raised in Essex. I moved back into London in the very late 1980’s, just about picking a residential property market peak. I cut my losses and moved out again. Like my parents chose to do, I raised my family at the edges of commuterland. My father moved to Chelmsford, when the electrification of the line made the commute sufficiently timely. A generation on, I moved, way out to the edge of Suffolk, and commuted on an inter-city from Manningtree. It was over twenty years before we moved our almost adult children back to London. Although our accommodation had shrunk and we had some adjustments to make, I noticed how happy it made me. It took a while for it to dawn on me why that was – I am a Londoner – and I was, at last, truly home.
Moving into the city has become much more fashionable than moving out – the decision that both my father and I had taken, believing it to be the best, as well as most affordable option for raising a growing family. My pleasure in my new living arrangements came from the ending of my commuting lifestyle – I was a few DLR or tube stops away from work, but actually a reachable and doable 3m walk. Even more enjoyable was the fact that I was a (decent) walk from my favourite cultural hubs (Globe Theatre, Tate Modern, Young and Old Vics, National Theatre, Barbican, BFI), and using them more. I had started at university, and that too was walkable if truly needed, or served well by a bus to Russell Square. The reasons for more public movement into the city than movement out, though, was the transformation of London into a culinary hub, a revived clubbing scene, with a cafe culture that had once seemed to exist only on the other side of the Channel. It was the best place to enjoy oneself.

A week ago, FT journalist Simon Kuper wrote about how Paris was preparing its development to be the city its citizens might want to enjoy in 2050. He noted that a housing boom has been exacerbated by the fact that it has more Airbnb listings than any city bar London. He compared it with London, and with San Francisco, Berlin and New York but noted that it was the only one of the named cities to be attempting to remake itself as it embraced the challenges of climate, inequality, planning, infrastructure and planning.
I was not aware that it was building a “whole new Paris” with 68 metro stations being built to connect the suburbs. At its heart, it is taking the Peripherique ring road out of its current place as a kind of moated defence to ‘core Paris’. Post-war Paris saw the suburbs grow and sprawl, but with inadequate or no planning. The poor transport options drive suburbanites into cars and exacerbate the pollution in the inner city. Kuper argues that the gilet jaune movement is partly “a crisis of failed urbanism”, quoting the deputy mayor.
Grand Paris Express is a large part of the answer. It is Europe’s largest infrastructure project and will connect the suburbs to central Paris, but also to one another. The metro sites are being developed in conjunction with large scale housing and public amenities. Some will open for Olympic 2024 year, and all 68 are expected to be completed by 2030. Elizabeth Line, I hear you query. Hmm. I confess a little Londoner envy coursed through me as I read this. We have some housing development out at Wembley and some exciting plans for Canada Water, but this feels much more of a ‘vision thing’ than we can or will deliver.
The new metro and a commitment to bike lanes (one on every street by 2024) are anticipated to allow the Peripherique to become a tree-lined urban boulevard as Paris gets serious about the Paris Accord on Climate. Urban forests and rooftop gardens combined with architecture using biomaterials (largely wood, to the unsophisticated like me) will provide cool spots for future heatwaves. This is in a city that already meets its new homes target annually (currently 70,000). What a prospect and competitive challenge for London’s next mayor, whenever he or she gets control of the reins.
Since my schooldays London had been transformed socially and architecturally, and in pretty much all aspects for the better. The more it attracted inflows of people, the more opportunities were thrown up, and the more great services were provided to cater for the growing and affluent population. When I was a boy my grandad drove me around Silvertown and to my nan’s florist in Canning Town, opposite West Ham public baths. I have watched and admired what regeneration is an can be. It was not unique to London – the city has become the place of ambition and regeneration internationally. The suburbs and even more so, the coastal towns, have been much more about resisting decline and decay. Cities have seen average ages of their growing populations fall; outside cities, the mix effect of leavers versus new arrivals has driven average ages up.
The truth is, that in London it is always a sickly season. Nobody is healthy in London, nobody can be. – Jane Austen
Could anything, not least our current health crisis, change this? In a great article this weekend, another FT journalist, Janan Ganesh, discussed the prospects for London after seeing a friend move into a Canary Wharf skyscraper. He reminded readers that pre-war London housed almost 9m people before depopulating until the 1980’s. Population trends in cities, especially London, correlate with crime (inversely, as you might expect) and with air quality/pollution. He noted that in the middle of the last century the suburbs were hailed as ‘The Future’. Now, he wonders whether COVID-19 will have an impact on trust, and the desire to be a city dweller. Physical proximity will become anathema. Restaurants and cafes will be places to avoid. Businesses will fail and new entrepreneurs will not like the potential reward relative to the risk to their capital. Gyms and yoga studios may get you healthy, but what if it is only to pass on an invisible foe that makes you fatally vulnerable?
His speculations and analysis had me thinking about the attractions of the city. I have eschewed property ownership here because, love the city as I do, I thought that it was (and still is) insanely priced. Boxes in the air, with no claims on the land upon which they are built, routinely priced in excess of £750k, often upwards of £1m. Really? What happens to that supply, much of which has come on stream in the past half decade, when Ganesh turns out to be right and London starts to depopulate? The state may be buyer of last resort and perhaps the housing can become ‘social’, but capital values will be sliding, materially. If depopulation is the next trend, then businesses do fail, and fewer start up. Support for culture narrows, and the city’s appeal and inherent charms moderate.
It is not all bad, though. In another article, Kuper used this weekend’s paper to talk about the impact the virus is already having and will have on green policy and its impacts. I am sure many people have been struck by the pictures from Venice of the clear(er) waters and the abundance of fish, to say nothing of swans and other marine life. He thinks the events of the past week have given people more confidence in the potential and capacity of remote working. In turn, that should lead to weaker demand for expensive office space. Some could be repurposed for housing. Employees will be spared the mental pressure of the commute and may be able to use the saved time to improve their physical as well as mental health. Business travel will be cut, even without the phenomenon of ‘flight shaming’. He notes some studies that suggest it is possible that latest data from China means that the improved air quality will have saved at least as many lives as COVID-19 has taken. Like Ganesh, he hints that the need to be a city dweller is going to be diminished.
What does it mean to me? A confession. I felt rather smug as I contemplated much lower property values. Then, I told myself off for having such ungenerous thoughts, and not thinking of the pressures/distress that may bring to many property owners. I recall how I felt in my ‘unsellable’ mews house in 1991/2. (Wish I still had it!) Would I not want to live and work in London, if it was to ‘depopulate?’ I think the answer is no. I have lived away from its urban charms and had the pleasures of woodland and fields surrounding my home. For many, who have a more intense relationship with nature, than me, that is what they seek.
But I like urbanity. I like London’s gorgeous buildings, fabulous architecture, it’s extraordinary paths and that it is not grid-like like New York, or planned in the way Paris was. I like its mysteries, its history and above all its access to culture. I love its parks and the river. When we are all able to share public spaces again, I expect theatres, cinemas and art galleries will draw me quickly, as well as the occasional visit to test my equanimity at West Ham’s stadium. I shall want to spend time at Lord’s too.
You find no man, at all intellectual, who is willing to leave London. No, Sir, when a man is tired of London, he is tired of life; for there is in London all that life can afford. – Samuel Johnson

To conclude; there is some good to come from the recalibrations we are all rapidly making and having to make, and I think Kuper’s love for his adopted Paris, does remind London it could do better. Also, I think Ganesh is on to something about how attitudes to the charms of the city, and especially London, may alter after we get beyond the worst this virus can throw at us. But London, as Peter Ackroyd explained when he personalised it in a ‘biography’, is special, and as a Londoner I want to be in it. If much of it gets repurposed from high end residential to social housing communities, or if office space gets transformed to dwellings as Kuper envisages; that may be a good thing. If communities become more communal; if the refuse collectors and shelf stackers that I admired working today, to say nothing of the nurses, feel that this is where they want to be, and it is affordable and welcoming, then it will remain a great city.
The man who can dominate a London dinner table can dominate the world. – Oscar Wilde

